Football

War Room: Week 14 Starts And Sits

Welcome to the War Room. Here we use intelligence and analysis to help you strategize and choose a unit to defeat your adversary.

This season has been a success thus far, hitting 50% or higher in every week this season. Overall, we have hit on 155/253 for a 61.3% hit rate on the season.

On to Week 14!

Quarterback

Starts

Carson Wentz vs. New York Giants

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Carson Wentz: Fantasy QB13 on the season despite struggling in the second half

Carson Wentz: 27.5 fantasy points against the Miami Dolphins in Week 13

New York Giants: Have allowed the third-most fantasy points to QBs over the past five weeks

New York Giants:  Have only allowed fewer than 23.4 fantasy points twice in 2019

New York Giants: Rank 30th in DVOA against the pass

Ryan Tannehill @ Oakland Raiders

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Ryan Tannehill: Fantasy QB5 over the past five weeks

Ryan Tannehill: Produced over 17 points in every game started

Ryan Tannehill: 12 TDs to 3 INTs as a starter

Oakland Raiders: Allowing the third-most fantasy points to QBs on the season

Oakland Raiders: Rank 28th in DVOA against the pass

Jacoby Brissett @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Allowing the second-most fantasy points to QBs on the season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Have only allowed fewer than 20 fantasy points to QBs four times on the season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Have allowed over 30 points five times on the season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rank 19th in DVOA against the pass and first against the run

Sits

Drew Brees vs. San Francisco 49ers

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Drew Brees: Two games below 20 fantasy points out of four since returning from injury

Drew Brees: Two games below 230 passing yards since returning from injury

San Francisco 49ers: Allowing the second-fewest fantasy points to QBs on the season

San Francisco 49ers: Have only allowed over 20 fantasy points five times this season, four of which were running QBs, and none over 30

San Francisco 49ers: Rank first overall in DVOA against the pass and 14th against the run

Gardner Minshew vs. Los Angeles Chargers

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Gardner Minshew: Fantasy QB19 in points per game

Los Angeles Chargers: Have Allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to QBs over the last five weeks

Los Angeles Chargers: Have only allowed over 20 fantasy points three times on the season and only once since Week 4

Eli Manning @ Philadelphia Eagles

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Eli Manning: Benched for Daniel Jones after Week 2

Eli Manning: Has not averaged 20+ fantasy points in a season since 2015

Philadelphia Eagles: Have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to QBs in the past five weeks

Philadelphia Eagles: Allowed a maximum of 15.5 fantasy points to Mitchell TrubiskyTom Brady, and Russell Wilson in Weeks 11-13

Running Back

Starts

Phillip Lindsay @ Houston Texans

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Phillip Lindsay: Fantasy RB14 despite playing fewer snaps than Royce Freeman

Phillip Lindsay: Double-digit carries in 10 of 12 games this season

Houston Texans: Have allowed the most fantasy points to RBs over the past five weeks

Houston Texans: Have allowed a 20+ point fantasy game in each of the past three games, including two 100-yard rushing games

Houston Texans: Rank 27th in DVOA against RBs in coverage

Sony Michel vs. Kansas City Chiefs

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Sony Michel: Double-digit carries in all but two games this season

Kansas City Chiefs: Allowing the most fantasy points to RBs on the season

Kansas City Chiefs: Have allowed six 100-yard rushers on the season

Kansas City Chiefs: Have allowed 14 double-digit fantasy games on the season

Kansas City Chiefs: Rank 30th in DVOA against the run

Devonta Freeman vs. Carolina Panthers

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Devonta Freeman: Fantasy RB22 despite missing two games

Devonta Freeman: Three or more targets in every game this season

Devonta Freeman: Double-digit fantasy points in 6-of-10 games this season

Carolina Panthers: Have allowed the third-most fantasy points to RBs over the past five weeks

Carolina Panthers: Have allowed 16 double-digit fantasy games on the season and 10-15+ fantasy point games

Sits

Patrick Laird @ New York Jets

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Patrick Laird: No more than 20 yards rushing in a game this season

Patrick Laird: Miami Dolphins have the second-highest pass-to-run ratio in the league

New York Jets: Have allowed the fewest fantasy points to RBs over the past five weeks

New York Jets: Have only allowed one 100-yard rusher this season

New York Jets: Rank second in DVOA against the run

Kenyan Drake vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

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Kenyan Drake: The fantasy RB42 over the past three weeks after his explosive Cardinals debut

Kenyan Drake: Back to sharing touches with David Johnson

Pittsburgh Steelers: Have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to RBs over the past five weeks

Pittsburgh Steelers: Have not allowed more than 17 fantasy points to an RB in 2019

Pittsburgh Steelers: Rank fifth in DVOA against the run

Marlon Mack @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Marlon Mack: First game since Week 11 due to hand surgery

Marlon Mack: Only 14 targets in 10 games this season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to RBs on the season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Have not allowed a 100-yard rusher on the season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rank first in DVOA against the run and second against RBs in coverage

Wide Receiver

Starts

Zach Pascal @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Zach Pascal: Sees 5 more targets, over 2 more receptions, over 30 more yards, a 10% higher target share and nearly double the fantasy output without TY Hilton on the field

Zach Pascal: Caught 7-of-10 targets for 109 yards in Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Allowing the most fantasy points to WRs on the season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Have allowed 17 or more points to a WR in all but two games this season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rank 22nd in DVOA against WR1s and WR2s in coverage

Marvin Jones @ Minnesota Vikings

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Marvin Jones: Derek Brown@DBro_FFB

Marvin Jones & Kenny Golladay

Since Matthew Stafford Sidelined:

Tg share:
MJ 19%
KG 16%

Adot:
MJ 13.1
KG 15.5

Air Yds:
MJ 353
KG 357

Rz Tgs:
MJ 4
KG 2

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13Twitter Ads info and privacySee Derek Brown's other Tweets

Minnesota Vikings: Allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to WRs on the season

Minnesota Vikings: Have allowed 21 double-digit fantasy games to WRs on the season

Minnesota Vikings: Rank 25th, 17th, and 26th in DVOA against WRs in coverage

Alshon Jeffery vs. New York Giants

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Alshon Jeffery: Six double-digit fantasy games out of nine played this season

Alshon Jeffery: Three 20+ point fantasy games against teams who are in the bottom half in fantasy points given up to WRs (MIN, MIA, and WSH)

New York Giants: Allowing the second-most fantasy  points to WRs on the season

New York Giants: Have allowed two or more WRs to score double-digit fantasy points in each of their last five games

New York Giants: Rank 30th in DVOA against the pass and 30th, 13th, and 32nd against WRs in coverage

Sits

N’Keal Harry vs. Kansas City Chiefs

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N’Keal Harry: Has played in 43% or fewer of the Patriots offensive snaps in two of his three games this season

N’Keal Harry: Has only caught of 4-of-9 targets this season

Kansas City Chiefs: Allowing the second-fewest fantasy points to WRs on the season

Kansas City Chiefs: Have only allowed one double-digit fantasy game in their past five

Kansas City Chiefs: Rank sixth in DVOA against the pass

Terry McLaurin @ Green Bay Packers

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Terry McLaurin: Only one double-digit game in games with Dwayne Haskins

Terry McLaurin: Fantasy WR59 over the past five weeks

Terry McLaurin: Washington has the sixth-lowest pass-to-run ratio since Jay Gruden was fired

Green Bay Packers: Have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to WRs over the past five weeks

Green Bay Packers: Have not allowed more than 50 yards receiving to a WR in the past two weeks

Green Bay Packers: Rank 18th in DVOA against the pass versus 28th against the run

Christian Kirk vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

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Christian Kirk: Four single-digit fantasy games on the season, including Week 13 against the Los Angeles Rams

Christian Kirk: Zero touchdowns in 8-of-9 games this season

Pittsburgh Steelers: Allowing the 11th-fewest fantasy points to WRs over the past five weeks

Pittsburgh Steelers: Michelle Magdziuk@BallBlastEm

There are 28 CBs that have played 400+ coverage snaps

Top 5 Fewest yds allowed:

B Jones (DAL): 288 yds, 85 YAC, 2 TDs

S Nelson👀 (PIT): 314 yds, 81 YAC, 1 TD

J Haden (PIT): 359 yds, 83 YAC, 3 TD

S Gilmore (NE): 407 yds, 137 YAC, TD

S Griffin (SEA): 422 yds, 113 YAC, 1 TD795Twitter Ads info and privacy298 people are talking about this

Pittsburgh Steelers: Rank fourth in DVOA against the pass

Tight End

Starts

Vance McDonald @ Arizona Cardinals

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Arizona Cardinals: Allowing the most fantasy points to TEs on the season

Arizona Cardinals: Have allowed a TE to score in all but two games this season

Arizona Cardinals: Have allowed five 20+ point fantasy games and eight 15+ point fantasy games to TEs on the season

Arizona Cardinals: Rank last in DVOA against TEs in coverage

Tyler Higbee vs. Seattle Seahawks

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Tyler Higbee: 18 targets in the last three games

Tyler Higbee: 107 yards and 1 TD against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 13

Seattle Seahawks: Allowing the second-most fantasy points to TEs on the season

Seattle Seahawks: Have allowed five 15+ fantasy point games to TEs on the season

Jack Doyle @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Jack Doyle: Double-digit fantasy points in four of the last five games

Jack Doyle: Caught 6-of-11 targets for 73 yards and 1 TD in Week 13 without Eric Ebron and TY Hilton

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to TEs on the season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Have allowed eight double-digit fantasy games to TEs on the season

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rank 29th in DVOA against TEs in coverage

Sits

Jared Cook vs. San Francisco 49ers

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San Francisco 49ers: Allowing the second-fewest fantasy points to TEs on the season

San Francisco 49ers: Have only allowed two double-digit fantasy games to TEs on the season

San Francisco 49ers: Rank first in DVOA against TEs in coverage

O.J. Howard vs. Indianapolis Colts

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O.J. Howard: Fantasy TE35 on the season, behind his teammate Cameron Brate at TE31

O.J. Howard: Only two double-digit fantasy games on the season

O.J. Howard: Maximum of 66 receiving yards in a game this season

Indianapolis Colts: Have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to TEs over the past five weeks

Indianapolis Colts: Have only allowed one double-digit game in their past seven

Indianapolis Colts: Rank fifth in DVOA against TEs in coverage

Kyle Rudolph vs. Detroit Lions

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Detroit Lions: Have not allowed more than 52 yards to a TE in the past five weeks

Detroit Lions: Have not allowed a double-digit fantasy game to a TE in their last four games

Detroit Lions: Allowing the ninth-fewest fantasy points to TEs in the past three weeks

And that is the end of your briefing. Now go, defeat your adversaries. Good luck in Week 14 and advancing in the playoffs!

Sources

Football Outsiders DVOA

FFToday – Fantasy Points Allowed

Over/Unders

ESPN – Defensive Yards and Points

Football Guys – Snap Counts

Slot Snaps

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